Syria - as of today

At the time of writing the UK, US and French Governments are poised to intervene in Syria's bloody Civil War after it was alleged that the Assad Regime used chemical weapons against its own people.

The momentum now seems unstoppable; parliament's have been recalled, troops have been readied and UN resolutions have been tabled.

All roads, it seems, lead to War.

Presently talk is of doing everything and anything necessary to avoid the killing of civilians. But I don't buy that. In Libya we took a similar route but we soon started striking strategic and symbolic targets rather than ones solely of interest for purposes of life preservation. In that case we got lucky and the Gadaffi Regime was quickly toppled but I fear that the Assad Regime may prove to be a tougher nut to crack.

Firstly, it is now almost universally accepted that pro-Assad forces have used chemical weapons. This demonstrates that the the Syrian armed forces have the firepower and determination unlike anything else that the West has fought this Century. I think it unlikely that, if war does come, the Assad Regime would use chemical weapons against a coalition force but they have proved that they can.

Second, Assad has some fairly tough allies. Both Russia and Iran have stated their objections towards any foreign military intervention into Syria. Again, it seems unlikely that either of these two nations would openly confront Western forces if and when they do intervene, but nonetheless they will most definitely find ways of hindering any efforts made.

Thirdly, this will never end with the prevention of civilian casualties, simply because that is an open-ended, ambiguous and plainly unachievable goal. As I see it the only way that the US and its allies will be satisfied with the situation is when they have toppled Assad and installed a democratically elected, Western-Sympathetic leader. In short, I believe this will end only with regime change.

I don't want another war. But equally, I don't want to leave the Syrian people in fear of their leader. And so it is that I conclude with my support for intervention into Syria. Talk has failed, sanctions have failed. Maybe a few Cruise Missiles will do the job.

I do not condone war but in this case it seems that we cannot stand by as chemical weapons are used to suppress people who simply desire democracy.

However, I also think it must be made clear that we need to be sure of it is we are supporting. There are those among the rebels who seek to create a radical Islamic state and we need to be sure that this does not happen. Not because I am Islamaphobic, far from it, but because if we are to oversee or facilitate regime change then we need to ensure that the new regime is free, fair and democratically elected.

For now that is all I have to say on the matter. I fear that I have rambled and have not been at all coherent. I also suspect that I will be revisiting this topic soon.